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Getting In Cheap On Chengdu Dahongli Machinery Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300865) Is Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 22 19:04

Chengdu Dahongli Machinery Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300865) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.7x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios below 2.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Chengdu Dahongli MachineryLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300865 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024

How Chengdu Dahongli MachineryLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Chengdu Dahongli MachineryLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Chengdu Dahongli MachineryLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Chengdu Dahongli MachineryLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 34% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 36% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 29% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Chengdu Dahongli MachineryLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Chengdu Dahongli MachineryLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Chengdu Dahongli MachineryLtd that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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