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There's Reason For Concern Over Koal Software Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603232) Price

コアルソフトウェア株式会社(SHSE:603232)の株価に懸念がある理由があります

Simply Wall St ·  01/23 02:04

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 5.1x in the Software industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Koal Software Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603232) P/S ratio of 4.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Koal Software

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603232 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024

What Does Koal Software's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Koal Software's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Koal Software.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Koal Software would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 33% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 26% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 35%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Koal Software's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Koal Software's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that Koal Software's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Koal Software, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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