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Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:688020) 25% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 23 17:18

The Guangzhou Fangbang Electronics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688020) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 31% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.7x, you may still consider Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 8.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688020 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024

What Does Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.2% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 25% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 61% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 58%, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it interesting that Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Guangzhou Fangbang ElectronicsLtd with six simple checks.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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