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Is Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688798) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688798) A Risky Investment?

上海艾維尼克科技有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688798)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/24 19:57

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Awinic Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688798) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,上海艾維尼克科技有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688798)使用債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd

查看我們對上海亞威尼克科技有限公司的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd Carry?

上海艾維尼克科技有限公司揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd had CN¥666.7m of debt, an increase on CN¥571.5m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.30b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.63b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,上海艾維尼克科技有限公司在一年內有6.667億元人民幣的債務,比5.715億加元人民幣有所增加。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有23.0億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有16.3億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688798 Debt to Equity History January 25th 2024
SHSE: 688798 2024 年 1 月 25 日債務與權益比率歷史記錄

How Strong Is Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

上海艾維尼克科技有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥858.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥346.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.30b in cash and CN¥90.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.19b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,上海艾維尼克科技有限公司的負債爲8.58億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲3.466億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有23.0億元的現金和9,080萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出11.9億元人民幣 負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種短期流動性表明,由於資產負債表遠未緊張,上海艾威尼克科技有限公司可能會輕鬆還清債務。簡而言之,上海艾維尼克科技有限公司擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益將決定上海艾威尼克科技有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥2.2b, which is a fall of 5.7%. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去的12個月中,上海艾維尼克科技有限公司在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至22億元人民幣,下降了5.7%。我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd?

那麼上海艾維尼克科技有限公司的風險有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And we do note that Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥382m and booked a CN¥216m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of CN¥1.63b, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Awinic TechnologyLtd you should know about.

從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。而且我們確實注意到,上海艾維尼克科技有限公司去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負3.82億元人民幣,會計虧損爲2.16億元人民幣。鑑於其淨現金僅爲16.3億元人民幣,如果不能很快達到收支平衡,該公司可能需要籌集更多資金。儘管其資產負債表看起來足夠流動,但如果一家公司不定期產生自由現金流,債務總是會讓我們有點緊張。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的上海艾威尼克科技有限公司的警告標誌。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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