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Insteel Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:IIIN) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 25 06:29

It's not a stretch to say that Insteel Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:IIIN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Building industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Insteel Industries

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:IIIN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 25th 2024

How Insteel Industries Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Insteel Industries' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Insteel Industries will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Insteel Industries' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Insteel Industries' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 26%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 22% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 1.2% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.7%.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Insteel Industries' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Insteel Industries' P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It appears that Insteel Industries currently trades on a higher than expected P/S for a company whose revenues are forecast to decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Insteel Industries that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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