Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.'s (NYSE:MSGS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Madison Square Garden Sports
How Has Madison Square Garden Sports Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for Madison Square Garden Sports as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Madison Square Garden Sports will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Madison Square Garden Sports' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.6% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 48% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.6% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Madison Square Garden Sports' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Madison Square Garden Sports, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
Having said that, be aware Madison Square Garden Sports is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.