When you see that almost half of the companies in the Building industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, The AZEK Company Inc. (NYSE:AZEK) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for AZEK
How Has AZEK Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for AZEK as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AZEK will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is AZEK's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, AZEK would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 52% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.2% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.4% per annum, which is not materially different.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that AZEK's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On AZEK's P/S
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that AZEK currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for AZEK that we have uncovered.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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