To the annoyance of some shareholders, Kaisa Health Group Holdings Limited (HKG:876) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 66% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, Kaisa Health Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Medical Equipment industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Kaisa Health Group Holdings
How Kaisa Health Group Holdings Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Kaisa Health Group Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Kaisa Health Group Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kaisa Health Group Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kaisa Health Group Holdings would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.1%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 9.0% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 65% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Kaisa Health Group Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Shares in Kaisa Health Group Holdings have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It's no surprise that Kaisa Health Group Holdings maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kaisa Health Group Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.