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We Think Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd (SHSE:600238) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

We Think Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd (SHSE:600238) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

我们认为海南椰岛(集团)有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600238)有相当一部分债务
Simply Wall St ·  01/26 18:53

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600238) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,海南椰岛(集团)有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所股票代码:600238)使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。资本主义的重要部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它用高回报率进行再投资的能力取代了公司的稀释时。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

Check out our latest analysis for Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd

查看我们对海南椰岛(集团)有限公司的最新分析

What Is Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's Net Debt?

海南椰岛(集团)有限公司的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd had CN¥249.5m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥287.5m, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥43.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥206.1m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示海南椰岛(集团)有限公司在2023年9月的债务为2.495亿元人民币,低于一年前的2.875亿元人民币。另一方面,它拥有4,340万元人民币的现金,净负债约为2.061亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600238 Debt to Equity History January 26th 2024
SHSE: 600238 2024 年 1 月 26 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's Liabilities

看看海南椰岛(集团)有限公司的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥688.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥131.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥43.4m in cash and CN¥191.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥584.6m.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,海南椰岛(集团)有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为6.881亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为1.315亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有4,340万元人民币的现金和1.915亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额5.846亿元人民币。

Of course, Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.51b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

当然,海南椰岛(集团)有限公司的市值为451亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为海南椰岛(集团)有限公司需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 52%, to CN¥237m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,海南椰岛(集团)有限公司在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了52%,至2.37亿元人民币。坦率地说,这并不是一个好兆头。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥182m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥82m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd .

在过去的十二个月中,海南椰岛(集团)有限公司不仅收入下滑,而且还产生了负的息税前收益(EBIT)。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为1.82亿元人民币。当我们审视这一点并回顾其资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,对我们来说,公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管并非无法修复。另一个需要谨慎的原因是,在过去的十二个月中,自由现金流为负8.2亿元人民币。因此,坦率地说,我们认为这是有风险的。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,你应该注意我们在海南椰岛(集团)有限公司发现的两个警告标志。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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