One thing we could say about the analysts on Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600521) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical from its twin analysts is for revenues of CN¥10b in 2024 which, if met, would be a decent 17% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to step up 18% to CN¥0.88. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥11b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.02 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical
The consensus price target fell 11% to CN¥17.60, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 13% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 12% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 15% per year. It's clear that while Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. There was also a drop in their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical.
A high debt burden combined with a downgrade of this magnitude always gives us some reason for concern, especially if these forecasts are just the first sign of a business downturn. You can learn more about our debt analysis for free on our platform here.
You can also see our analysis of Zhejiang Huahai Pharmaceutical's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
