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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600313)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600313)?

股票下跌和基本面穩健:市場對中農發種業集團有限公司(SHSE: 600313)的看法錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 01:56

With its stock down 14% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group (SHSE:600313). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's ROE in this article.

中農發種業集團(SHSE: 600313)的股票在過去三個月中下跌了14%,很容易被忽視。但是,股票價格通常由公司的長期財務業績驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來很有希望。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究中農發種業集團的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

Check out our latest analysis for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group

查看我們對中農發種業集團的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,中農發種業集團的投資回報率爲:

12% = CN¥339m ÷ CN¥2.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

12% = 3.39億元人民幣 ÷ 27億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.12.

“申報表” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。因此,這意味着其股東每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.12元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

中農發種業集團的收益增長和12%的投資回報率的並排比較

To start with, Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 6.9% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Probably as a result of this, Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group was able to see an impressive net income growth of 66% over the last five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

首先,中農發種業集團的投資回報率似乎可以接受。特別是與6.9%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。可能正因爲如此,中農發種業集團在過去五年中實現了令人印象深刻的66%的淨收入增長。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的收益增長產生積極影響。例如,該公司的派息率很低或管理得很高效。

As a next step, we compared Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 12%.

下一步,我們將中農發種業集團的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,令人高興的是,我們發現該公司的增長高於行業平均增長12%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600313 Past Earnings Growth January 29th 2024
SHSE: 600313 過去的收益增長 2024 年 1 月 29 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。與其他公司相比,中農發種業集團的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中農發種業集團是否在有效利用其利潤?

Given that Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group doesn't pay any dividend to its shareholders, we infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.

鑑於中農發種業集團沒有向股東支付任何股息,我們推斷該公司一直在將其所有利潤再投資以發展業務。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Remember, the price of a stock is also dependent on the perceived risk. Therefore investors must keep themselves informed about the risks involved before investing in any company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group.

總體而言,我們對中農發種業集團的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡該公司以高回報率再投資其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致該公司的收益大幅增長。考慮到每股收益如何影響長期股價,如果該公司繼續以現有方式增長收益,這可能會對其股價產生積極影響。請記住,股票的價格還取決於感知的風險。因此,在投資任何公司之前,投資者必須隨時了解所涉及的風險。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲中農發種業集團確定的1種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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