Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd (SZSE:000019) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Three Years
Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd (SZSE:000019) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Three Years
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, Shenzhen Cereals Holdings Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000019) shareholders have seen the share price rise 18% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (26%, not including dividends).
通過購買指數基金,您可以輕鬆地大致匹配市場回報。但是,如果你選擇正確的個股,你的收入可能不止於此。例如,深圳穀物控股有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所:000019)股東的股價在三年內上漲了18%,遠遠超過了市場的跌幅(26%,不包括股息)。
Since it's been a strong week for Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由於對深圳穀物控股有限公司股東來說,這是強勁的一週,讓我們來看看長期基本面的走勢。
Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd
查看我們對深圳穀物控股有限公司的最新分析
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
During three years of share price growth, Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd achieved compound earnings per share growth of 3.0% per year. In comparison, the 6% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.
在三年的股價增長中,深圳穀物控股有限公司實現了每年3.0%的複合每股收益增長。相比之下,股價每年6%的漲幅超過了每股收益的增長。這表明,隨着業務在過去幾年中的發展,它贏得了市場參與者的信心。在經歷了幾年的增長之後,市場對股票進行 “重新評級” 的情況並不少見。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
可能值得一看我們關於深圳穀物控股有限公司收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was 29%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,深圳穀物控股有限公司在過去3年的股東總回報率爲29%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd shares lost 1.2% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 18%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
儘管深圳穀物控股有限公司的股價全年下跌1.2%確實令人失望,但這還不如18%的市場跌幅那麼糟糕。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺4%。可能是該企業正面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,冒險吧——深圳穀物控股有限公司有1個我們認爲你應該注意的警告信號。
But note: Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:深圳穀物控股有限公司可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。