Guangzhou Haozhi Industrial Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300503) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 53%, which is great even in a bull market.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may still consider Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd
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What Does Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
The recent revenue growth at Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 2.9% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 26% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's P/S?
There's still some elevation in Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Haozhi IndustrialLtd (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.