New Universal Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300472) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 42% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may still consider New Universal Science and Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 6.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for New Universal Science and Technology
What Does New Universal Science and Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, New Universal Science and Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on New Universal Science and Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is New Universal Science and Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, New Universal Science and Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 49% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 37% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that New Universal Science and Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On New Universal Science and Technology's P/S
New Universal Science and Technology's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that New Universal Science and Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for New Universal Science and Technology (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.