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Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300112) Shares May Have Slumped 25% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 30 06:15

Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300112) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

For instance, Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300112 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 29th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 7.5% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 42% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control's P/E

Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Maxonic Automation Control that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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