Qianhe Condiment and Food's (SHSE:603027) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the Solid Shareholder Returns
Qianhe Condiment and Food's (SHSE:603027) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the Solid Shareholder Returns
While Qianhe Condiment and Food Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603027) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 17% in the last quarter. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. We think most investors would be happy with the 125% return, over that period. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Ultimately business performance will determine whether the stock price continues the positive long term trend. While the long term returns are impressive, we do have some sympathy for those who bought more recently, given the 33% drop, in the last year.
尽管千和调味食品有限公司(SHSE: 603027)的股东们可能普遍感到高兴,但该股最近的表现并不特别好,上个季度股价下跌了17%。但这丝毫不影响该公司在五年内创造的真正稳健的长期回报。我们认为,在此期间,大多数投资者会对125%的回报感到满意。一般而言,与短期回报相比,长期回报将使您更好地了解业务质量。最终,业务表现将决定股价是否延续长期的积极趋势。尽管长期回报令人印象深刻,但鉴于去年下降了33%,我们对最近买入的人有些同情。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Qianhe Condiment and Food investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
事实证明,过去一周对千和调味品的投资者来说是有利可图的,所以让我们看看基本面是否推动了公司的五年业绩。
Check out our latest analysis for Qianhe Condiment and Food
查看我们对千和调味品和食品的最新分析
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, Qianhe Condiment and Food achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 18% per year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 18%. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
在五年的股价增长中,千和调味品实现了每年18%的复合每股收益(EPS)增长。这使得每股收益的增长特别接近18%的年度股价增长。因此,人们可以得出结论,对股票的情绪并没有太大变化。相反,股价大致追踪了每股收益的增长。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。
We know that Qianhe Condiment and Food has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
我们知道千和调味品最近提高了利润,但它会增加收入吗?这份显示分析师收入预测的免费报告应帮助您弄清楚每股收益的增长是否可以持续。
What About Dividends?
分红呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Qianhe Condiment and Food the TSR over the last 5 years was 131%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,千和调味品在过去5年的股东总回报率为131%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While the broader market lost about 18% in the twelve months, Qianhe Condiment and Food shareholders did even worse, losing 33% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 18%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Qianhe Condiment and Food , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约18%,但千和调味品和食品股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了33%(甚至包括股息)。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚18%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经确定了千和调味品的两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
But note: Qianhe Condiment and Food may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:千和调味品可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。