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Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000869)股票下跌:基本面不佳是原因嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/29 21:57

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) has had a rough three months with its share price down 17%. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. In this article, we decided to focus on Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ROE.

煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒(深圳證券交易所代碼:000869)經歷了艱難的三個月,股價下跌了17%。爲了決定這種趨勢能否持續下去,我們決定研究其疲軟的基本面,因爲它們塑造了長期市場趨勢。在這篇文章中,我們決定重點關注煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

See our latest analysis for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine

查看我們對煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine is:

因此,根據上述公式,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的投資回報率爲:

3.9% = CN¥425m ÷ CN¥11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

3.9% = 4.25億元人民幣 ÷ 110億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回報” 是企業去年獲得的收入。另一種思考方式是,公司每擁有價值1元人民幣的股權,就能獲得0.04元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的收益增長和3.9%的投資回報率

It is hard to argue that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 13%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's five year net income decline of 22% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很難說煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的投資回報率本身就非常好。不僅如此,即使與行業平均水平的13%相比,該公司的投資回報率也完全不引人注目。出於這個原因,鑑於煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的投資回報率較低,其五年淨收入下降了22%,這並不奇怪。但是,可能還有其他因素導致收益下降。例如,該企業的資本分配不佳,或者該公司的派息率非常高。

So, as a next step, we compared Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 18% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的表現與行業進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業在過去幾年中一直以18%的速度增長收益。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000869 Past Earnings Growth January 30th 2024
SZSE: 000869 過去的收益增長 2024 年 1 月 30 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。如果你想知道煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的估值,可以看看這個衡量煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒是否在有效使用其留存收益?

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 62% (or a retention ratio of 38%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的收益下降並不奇怪,因爲該公司將大部分利潤用於支付股息,其三年派息率中位數爲62%(或留存率爲38%)。該企業只剩下少量資金可供再投資——從長遠來看,這種惡性循環對公司沒有好處。您可以訪問我們的 2 種風險來查看我們爲煙臺張裕先鋒酒業確定的 2 種風險 風險儀表板 在我們的平台上免費使用。

Additionally, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,煙臺張裕先鋒酒業已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心派發股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

總體而言,煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的表現相當令人失望。由於投資回報率低且缺乏對該業務的再投資,該公司的收益增長率令人失望。到目前爲止,我們僅就公司的收益增長進行了簡短的討論。因此,可能值得查看這張煙臺張裕先鋒酒業過去的收益以及收入和現金流的免費詳細圖表,以更深入地了解該公司的業績。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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