Guangdong Topstar Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300607) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 29% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Guangdong Topstar Technology's P/E ratio of 33.2x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 30x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Guangdong Topstar Technology has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Guangdong Topstar Technology
Is There Some Growth For Guangdong Topstar Technology?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guangdong Topstar Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 103%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 79% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 78% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 42%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Guangdong Topstar Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Guangdong Topstar Technology's P/E
With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Guangdong Topstar Technology looks quite average now. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Guangdong Topstar Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Topstar Technology you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Guangdong Topstar Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.