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Junhe Pumps Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603617) Shares May Have Slumped 27% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 17:07

Junhe Pumps Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603617) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 31% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 67.2x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For example, consider that Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603617 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 43%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 69% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 42% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Junhe Pumps HoldingLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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