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Shenzhen Increase Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300713) Shares May Have Slumped 27% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 17:36

Shenzhen Increase Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300713) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 6.3% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may still consider Shenzhen Increase Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Increase Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300713 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Shenzhen Increase Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Increase Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Increase Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Increase Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.0%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 12% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 29% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Increase Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Increase Technology's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Shenzhen Increase Technology's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen Increase Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Increase Technology that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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