Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300710) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 31% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment's P/S ratio of 4.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Communications industry in China is also close to 4.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment
How Has Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 43% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 21% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 43% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Following Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hangzhou Prevail Optoelectronic Equipment's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.