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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing Industry Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000995) Shares After Tumbling 25%

広西黄泰葡萄酒マーケティング産業有限公司(SZSE:000995)の株価が25%下落した後、より不快な驚きが待ち受けている可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  01/31 17:57

Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000995) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 29% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Beverage industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.3x, you may still consider Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 15.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000995 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

How Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd Has Been Performing

For instance, Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.3%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 28% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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