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It's Down 32% But Lingda Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300125) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 07:45

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Lingda Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300125) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 61% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Lingda Group's P/S ratio of 1.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Building industry in China is also close to 2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Lingda Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300125 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Lingda Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Lingda Group's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lingda Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Lingda Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

Lingda Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, in spite of this mediocre revenue growth of late. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Lingda Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Lingda Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

To our surprise, Lingda Group revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Lingda Group (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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