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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Dali Pharmaceuticalco.,Ltd's (SHSE:603963) Shares After Tumbling 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 18:40

Dali Pharmaceuticalco.,Ltd (SHSE:603963) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 33% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may still consider Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 18.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603963 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 54% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's very lofty P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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