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Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002513) 28% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 18:36

Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemical Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002513) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 11% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd's P/S ratio of 1.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Chemicals industry in China is also close to 2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002513 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 26% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Lanfeng Bio-chemicalLtd you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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