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Hunan Valin Steel (SZSE:000932) Shareholders Notch a 8.2% CAGR Over 3 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

Hunan Valin Steel (SZSE:000932) Shareholders Notch a 8.2% CAGR Over 3 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

湖南华菱钢铁(深圳证券交易所代码:000932)股东在3年内实现了8.2%的复合年增长率,但收益一直在萎缩
Simply Wall St ·  01/31 18:57

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at Hunan Valin Steel Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000932), which is up 11%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 30% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 14% , including dividends .

通过购买指数基金,投资者可以估算出平均市场回报率。但是我们中的许多人敢于梦想获得更大的回报,并自己建立投资组合。看看湖南华菱钢铁有限公司(SZSE: 000932),该公司在三年内上涨了11%,稳步超过了市场30%的跌幅(不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的回报并不那么好,股东仅增长了14%,包括股息。

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Hunan Valin Steel investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.

事实证明,过去一周对湖南华菱钢铁投资者来说是有利可图的,所以让我们看看基本面是否推动了该公司的三年业绩。

View our latest analysis for Hunan Valin Steel

查看我们对湖南华菱钢铁的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Over the last three years, Hunan Valin Steel failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 8.7% (annualized).

在过去三年中,湖南华菱钢铁未能增长每股收益,下降了8.7%(按年计算)。

The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. So we'll need to take a look at some different metrics to try to understand why the share price remains solid.

每股收益的强劲下降表明市场没有使用每股收益来评判该公司。因此,我们需要研究一些不同的指标,以了解为什么股价保持稳定。

Interestingly, the dividend has increased over time; so that may have given the share price a boost. Sometimes yield-chasing investors will flock to a company if they think the dividend can grow over time. On top of that, revenue grew at a rate of 11% per year, and it's likely investors interpret that as pointing to a brighter future.

有趣的是,随着时间的推移,股息有所增加;因此这可能提振了股价。有时候,如果追逐收益的投资者认为股息可以随着时间的推移而增长,他们就会涌向公司。最重要的是,收入以每年11%的速度增长,投资者很可能会将其解释为指向更光明的未来。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000932 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 31st 2024
SZSE: 000932 2024 年 1 月 31 日收益和收入增长

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Hunan Valin Steel

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官要适中。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。这份显示分析师预测的免费报告应该可以帮助您对湖南华菱钢铁形成看法

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Hunan Valin Steel the TSR over the last 3 years was 27%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,湖南华菱钢铁在过去3年的股东总回报率为27%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that Hunan Valin Steel shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 14% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 6%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hunan Valin Steel better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Hunan Valin Steel , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我们很高兴地报告,湖南华菱钢铁的股东在一年内获得了14%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这一增幅好于五年内的年度股东总回报率,即6%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎一直很乐观。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解湖南华菱钢铁,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向湖南华菱钢铁确定了一个警告信号,我们知道它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course Hunan Valin Steel may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,湖南华菱钢铁可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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