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Ningbo Heli Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603917) Shares May Have Slumped 25% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 18:54

Ningbo Heli Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603917) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 58% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Ningbo Heli Technology may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.1x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

The earnings growth achieved at Ningbo Heli Technology over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Ningbo Heli Technology

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603917 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ningbo Heli Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Ningbo Heli Technology's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ningbo Heli Technology would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 11% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 30% overall drop in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 42% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Ningbo Heli Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Ningbo Heli Technology's P/E?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Ningbo Heli Technology's P/E remains higher than most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Ningbo Heli Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Ningbo Heli Technology (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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