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Hangzhou Kelin Electric Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688611) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

Hangzhou Kelin Electric Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688611) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

杭州科林电气有限公司(SHSE: 688611)股票下跌:基本面不佳是原因吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/31 19:09

With its stock down 27% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Hangzhou Kelin Electric (SHSE:688611). We decided to study the company's financials to determine if the downtrend will continue as the long-term performance of a company usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Hangzhou Kelin Electric's ROE in this article.

杭州科林电气(上海证券交易所股票代码:688611)的股价在过去一个月中下跌了27%,很容易被忽视。我们决定研究公司的财务状况,以确定下跌趋势是否会继续,因为公司的长期表现通常决定市场业绩。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究杭州科林电气的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

ROE或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得的投资中获得回报的有用工具。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for Hangzhou Kelin Electric

查看我们对杭州科林电气的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hangzhou Kelin Electric is:

因此,根据上述公式,杭州科林电气的投资回报率为:

6.1% = CN¥50m ÷ CN¥818m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

6.1% = 5000万元人民币 ÷ 8.18亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

“申报表” 是过去十二个月的税后收入金额。这意味着,每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,公司就会产生0.06元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Hangzhou Kelin Electric's Earnings Growth And 6.1% ROE

杭州科林电气的收益增长和6.1%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Hangzhou Kelin Electric's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.1%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But Hangzhou Kelin Electric saw a five year net income decline of 8.1% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

从表面上看,杭州科林电气的投资回报率没什么好谈的。但是,其投资回报率与行业平均水平的7.1%相似,因此我们不会完全解散该公司。但在过去五年中,杭州科林电气的五年净收入下降了8.1%。请记住,公司的投资回报率一开始有点低。因此,收入下降也可能是由此造成的。

However, when we compared Hangzhou Kelin Electric's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 14% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将杭州科林电气的增长与该行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但同期该行业的收益增长了14%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688611 Past Earnings Growth February 1st 2024
SHSE: 688611 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 1 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Hangzhou Kelin Electric fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。与其他公司相比,杭州科林电气的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Hangzhou Kelin Electric Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

杭州科林电气是否在有效利用其利润?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 57% (implying that 43% of the profits are retained), most of Hangzhou Kelin Electric's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Hangzhou Kelin Electric.

杭州科林电气的三年中位数派息率很高,为57%(这意味着保留了43%的利润),大部分利润都支付给了股东,这解释了该公司收益萎缩的原因。由于只有一小部分被再投资到该业务,收益增长显然会很低或根本不存在。我们的风险仪表板应包含我们为杭州科林电气确定的4种风险。

Additionally, Hangzhou Kelin Electric started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,杭州科林电气最近才开始派发股息。因此,看来管理层可能已经认为,尽管收益有所下降,但股东还是偏爱分红。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Hangzhou Kelin Electric. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. To gain further insights into Hangzhou Kelin Electric's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

总体而言,在就杭州科林电气做出任何决定之前,我们将非常谨慎。由于保留的利润很少,该公司一直缺乏收益增长,无论保留的利润很少,都以非常低的回报率进行再投资。到目前为止,我们只对公司的增长数据进行了简短的研究。要进一步了解杭州科林电气过去的利润增长,请查看这份过去收益、收入和现金流的可视化图表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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