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Hangzhou Kelin Electric Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688611) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

Hangzhou Kelin Electric Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688611) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

杭州科林電氣有限公司(SHSE: 688611)股票下跌:基本面不佳是原因嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/31 19:09

With its stock down 27% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Hangzhou Kelin Electric (SHSE:688611). We decided to study the company's financials to determine if the downtrend will continue as the long-term performance of a company usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Hangzhou Kelin Electric's ROE in this article.

杭州科林電氣(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688611)的股價在過去一個月中下跌了27%,很容易被忽視。我們決定研究公司的財務狀況,以確定下跌趨勢是否會繼續,因爲公司的長期表現通常決定市場業績。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究杭州科林電氣的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

ROE或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得的投資中獲得回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股權資本的盈利能力。

See our latest analysis for Hangzhou Kelin Electric

查看我們對杭州科林電氣的最新分析

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hangzhou Kelin Electric is:

因此,根據上述公式,杭州科林電氣的投資回報率爲:

6.1% = CN¥50m ÷ CN¥818m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

6.1% = 5000萬元人民幣 ÷ 8.18億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

“申報表” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入金額。這意味着,每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,公司就會產生0.06元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

Hangzhou Kelin Electric's Earnings Growth And 6.1% ROE

杭州科林電氣的收益增長和6.1%的投資回報率

On the face of it, Hangzhou Kelin Electric's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.1%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But Hangzhou Kelin Electric saw a five year net income decline of 8.1% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

從表面上看,杭州科林電氣的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。但是,其投資回報率與行業平均水平的7.1%相似,因此我們不會完全解散該公司。但在過去五年中,杭州科林電氣的五年淨收入下降了8.1%。請記住,公司的投資回報率一開始有點低。因此,收入下降也可能是由此造成的。

However, when we compared Hangzhou Kelin Electric's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 14% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將杭州科林電氣的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但同期該行業的收益增長了14%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688611 Past Earnings Growth February 1st 2024
SHSE: 688611 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 1 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Hangzhou Kelin Electric fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。與其他公司相比,杭州科林電氣的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Hangzhou Kelin Electric Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

杭州科林電氣是否在有效利用其利潤?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 57% (implying that 43% of the profits are retained), most of Hangzhou Kelin Electric's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Hangzhou Kelin Electric.

杭州科林電氣的三年中位數派息率很高,爲57%(這意味着保留了43%的利潤),大部分利潤都支付給了股東,這解釋了該公司收益萎縮的原因。由於只有一小部分被再投資到該業務,收益增長顯然會很低或根本不存在。我們的風險儀表板應包含我們爲杭州科林電氣確定的4種風險。

Additionally, Hangzhou Kelin Electric started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,杭州科林電氣最近才開始派發股息。因此,看來管理層可能已經認爲,儘管收益有所下降,但股東還是偏愛分紅。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Hangzhou Kelin Electric. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. To gain further insights into Hangzhou Kelin Electric's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

總體而言,在就杭州科林電氣做出任何決定之前,我們將非常謹慎。由於保留的利潤很少,該公司一直缺乏收益增長,無論保留的利潤很少,都以非常低的回報率進行再投資。到目前爲止,我們只對公司的增長數據進行了簡短的研究。要進一步了解杭州科林電氣過去的利潤增長,請查看這份過去收益、收入和現金流的可視化圖表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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