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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Fujian Forecam Optics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688010) Shares Dive 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 19:02

Fujian Forecam Optics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688010) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Fujian Forecam Optics' P/S ratio of 3.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electronic industry in China is also close to 3.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Fujian Forecam Optics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688010 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Fujian Forecam Optics' Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Fujian Forecam Optics over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Fujian Forecam Optics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Fujian Forecam Optics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 42% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 60% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Fujian Forecam Optics' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Fujian Forecam Optics' P/S

Fujian Forecam Optics' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Fujian Forecam Optics' average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Fujian Forecam Optics (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fujian Forecam Optics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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