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Some Sichuan Golden Summit (Group) Joint-Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600678) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 28% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 16:28

The Sichuan Golden Summit (group) Joint-Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600678) share price has softened a substantial 28% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 5.1% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Basic Materials industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may still consider Sichuan Golden Summit (group) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Sichuan Golden Summit (group)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600678 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Sichuan Golden Summit (group) Has Been Performing

For instance, Sichuan Golden Summit (group)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sichuan Golden Summit (group), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Sichuan Golden Summit (group)'s Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Sichuan Golden Summit (group)'s to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.5% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 39% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 16% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sichuan Golden Summit (group) is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Sichuan Golden Summit (group)'s P/S?

Sichuan Golden Summit (group)'s shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Sichuan Golden Summit (group) currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Sichuan Golden Summit (group) (4 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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