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Little Excitement Around Nanjing Julong Science & Technology Co.,LTD's (SZSE:300644) Earnings As Shares Take 27% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 08:24

Nanjing Julong Science & Technology Co.,LTD (SZSE:300644) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 5.0% in the last year.

Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 30x, you may consider Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD as an attractive investment with its 20.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300644 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 168% last year. EPS has also lifted 30% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 42% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Nanjing Julong Science & TechnologyLTD. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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