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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Guangdong Jinma Entertainment Corporation Limited (SZSE:300756) As Shares Slide 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 19:13

Guangdong Jinma Entertainment Corporation Limited (SZSE:300756) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 25% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Machinery industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Jinma Entertainment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300756 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Has Guangdong Jinma Entertainment Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Guangdong Jinma Entertainment has been doing very well. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Guangdong Jinma Entertainment will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Jinma Entertainment will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Jinma Entertainment?

Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 66% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 72% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Guangdong Jinma Entertainment is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Guangdong Jinma Entertainment looks to be in line with the rest of the Machinery industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Guangdong Jinma Entertainment's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Guangdong Jinma Entertainment (including 2 which can't be ignored).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangdong Jinma Entertainment, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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