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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Nanhua Instruments Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300417) Shares Dive 28%

南華儀器株式会社(SZSE:300417)の株価が28%下落し、株価リスクはまだ高いです。

Simply Wall St ·  02/01 08:12

Nanhua Instruments Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300417) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 15% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may still consider Nanhua Instruments as a stock to avoid entirely with its 10.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Nanhua Instruments

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300417 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Nanhua Instruments' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Nanhua Instruments over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanhua Instruments will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Nanhua Instruments' Revenue Growth Trending?

Nanhua Instruments' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.2%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 71% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 60% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Nanhua Instruments' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Nanhua Instruments' P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Nanhua Instruments' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Nanhua Instruments revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Nanhua Instruments that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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