The HL Corp (Shenzhen) (SZSE:002105) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it would still be understandable if you think HL Corp (Shenzhen) is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Leisure industry have P/S ratios above 3.4x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for HL Corp (Shenzhen)
What Does HL Corp (Shenzhen)'s Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that HL Corp (Shenzhen)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for HL Corp (Shenzhen), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For HL Corp (Shenzhen)?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as HL Corp (Shenzhen)'s is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 50%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 42% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that HL Corp (Shenzhen)'s P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does HL Corp (Shenzhen)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
The southerly movements of HL Corp (Shenzhen)'s shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of HL Corp (Shenzhen) confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - HL Corp (Shenzhen) has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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