The Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300549) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 3.8% over the last twelve months.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 77x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For instance, Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s Growth Trending?
Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 16%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 54% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 42% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s P/E
Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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