Jiangsu HHCK Advanced Materials Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688535) shares have had a horrible month, losing 36% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Even after such a large drop in price, Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 16x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Semiconductor industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 6x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd
What Does Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.3%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 20% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 20% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 36% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price drop, Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It comes as a surprise to see Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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