SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300188) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may still consider SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information as a stock probably not worth researching with its 5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
View our latest analysis for SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information
How SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information Has Been Performing
SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
How Is SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 49% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 60% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it concerning that SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Despite the recent share price weakness, SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It comes as a surprise to see SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on SDIC Intelligence Xiamen Information, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
