Anhui Estone Materials Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688733) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 32% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may still consider Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd
How Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing
Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 17%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 158% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 72% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 27%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price drop, Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our look into Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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