With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.9x Huafon Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002064) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 51x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Huafon Chemical has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Huafon Chemical would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 46%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 23% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 45% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 42% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that Huafon Chemical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Huafon Chemical's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Huafon Chemical's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Huafon Chemical has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Huafon Chemical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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