You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (NASDAQ:AOSL) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Semiconductor companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.9x and even P/S above 9x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Alpha and Omega Semiconductor's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Alpha and Omega Semiconductor?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Alpha and Omega Semiconductor's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.0% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 44%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Alpha and Omega Semiconductor's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor with six simple checks.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Alpha and Omega Semiconductor, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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