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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300191) Shares After Tumbling 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:10

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd (SZSE:300191) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 42% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Energy Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may still consider Sino Geophysical as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300191 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Has Sino Geophysical Performed Recently?

For instance, Sino Geophysical's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sino Geophysical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Sino Geophysical's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Sino Geophysical's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.5% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 9.2% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sino Geophysical is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Sino Geophysical's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Sino Geophysical revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sino Geophysical you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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