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Some Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300519) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 26% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:10

The Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300519) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 28x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300519 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 32%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 23% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 42% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical's P/E

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical looks quite average now. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Xinguang Pharmaceutical that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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