Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600661) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 33% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Consumer Services industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
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How Has Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen firmly for Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 52% drop in revenue in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 28% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we understand why Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's P/S
Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Consumer Services companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shanghai Xinnanyang Only Education & TechnologyLtd, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.