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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Haoersai Technology Group Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:002963) Shares Dive 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:17

The Haoersai Technology Group Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:002963) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 23% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may still consider Haoersai Technology Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 3.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002963 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Has Haoersai Technology Group Performed Recently?

Haoersai Technology Group has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Haoersai Technology Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Haoersai Technology Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Haoersai Technology Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.3%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 25% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Haoersai Technology Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Haoersai Technology Group's P/S?

Haoersai Technology Group's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Haoersai Technology Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Haoersai Technology Group that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Haoersai Technology Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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