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Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002811) Shares May Have Slumped 27% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:29

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002811) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 5.6% over that longer period.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002811 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.7%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 47% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's P/S

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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