share_log

Zhang Xiaoquan Inc. (SZSE:301055) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:38

Zhang Xiaoquan Inc. (SZSE:301055) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Zhang Xiaoquan's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Durables industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301055 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Zhang Xiaoquan's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Zhang Xiaoquan could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zhang Xiaoquan will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhang Xiaoquan?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Zhang Xiaoquan's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 29% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 38% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Zhang Xiaoquan's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Zhang Xiaoquan's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Zhang Xiaoquan currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Zhang Xiaoquan that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment