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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Guangdong Wanlima Industry Co. ,Ltd's (SZSE:300591) Shares After Tumbling 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:46

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Guangdong Wanlima Industry Co. ,Ltd (SZSE:300591) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may still consider Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300591 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 30%. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

There's still some elevation in Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Guangdong Wanlima Industry Ltd, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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