Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002377) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Real Estate industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
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Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 45% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 70% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 10% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd's P/S
Following Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech MaterialLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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