share_log

Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300235) 25% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 18:16

The Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300235) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 6.6% during the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 23x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Entertainment industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 6x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300235 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Has Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?

For instance, Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd?

Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.3%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 17% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment